Microsoft Stock Soars to a New High. Earnings Come Tuesday.

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Updated July 23, 2021 / Original July 22, 2021

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Amid increasing signs of an acceleration of firm IT spending, Wall Street analysts person been ratcheting up expectations for Microsoft, which is owed to study fiscal fourth-quarter results connected Tuesday.

The bullish sentiment has driven Microsoft shares (ticker: MSFT) to caller heights. The banal connected Friday rallied 1.2%, closing astatine a grounds $289.58. The banal is up astir 31% twelvemonth to date, driving the company’s marketplace headdress to $2.18 trillion, trailing lone Apple (AAPL) astatine $2.48 trillion.

Street statement calls for Microsoft gross of $44.1 cardinal and profits of $1.90 a share. Microsoft provides guidance for each of its 3 reporting segments; astatine the apical of the projected scope for each, revenues would beryllium $44.5 billion. 

Microsoft forecast June-quarter gross from its Productivity and Business Processes conception (which includes Office) of $13.8 cardinal to $14.05 billion; for Intelligent Cloud (including Azure), $16.2 cardinal to $16.45 billion; and for More Personal Computing (including Windows and Xbox), $13.6 cardinal to $14 billion. 

For the September quarter, the Street statement calls for gross of $42.5 cardinal and profits of $1.95 a share.

Wall Street’s bundle analysts person been busily surveying Microsoft’s partners and resellers for clues to the quarter, and they’re each uncovering reasons for optimism.


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Citigroup expert Tyler Radke connected Thursday repeated his Buy standing connected Microsoft shares, jumping his people terms to a Street-high $378 from $310, aft a survey of IT resellers. His caller people implies a 35% upside from Wednesday’s closing level. Radke expects a beardown decorativeness to the company’s fiscal year, driven by recovering IT budgets, reacceleration successful Azure, and continued spot successful idiosyncratic machine sales. He writes that Microsoft remains his favourite prime successful the megacap bundle sector, with “multiple levers” for double-digit growth.

BofA Securities expert Brad Sills likewise past week reiterated a Buy standing aft a bid of “channel checks,” portion upping his people to $325 from $305. He thinks gross could bushed statement by 2% to 3%, driven by spot successful Azure and Office 365 demand. Sills believes Azure tin proceed to turn astatine amended than 50%, pursuing 59% maturation successful the March quarter. (He notes that the institution gets a comparatively casual examination connected Azure, with 47% maturation successful the year-earlier quarter.)

KeyBanc expert Michael Turits maintains his Overweight standing connected Microsoft, portion lifting his people connected the banal past week to $330 from $305. His telephone was portion of a broadly optimistic instrumentality connected June 4th IT spending based connected a reseller survey. He says respondents present spot 5.6% maturation successful 2021 IT budgets, up from 4.6% successful the first-quarter mentation of the aforesaid survey. Turits writes that the survey recovered Microsoft’s strategical value is increasing. He besides raised targets connected Arista Networks (ANET), Commvault (CVLT), Fortinet (FTNT), Okta (OKTA), Oracle (ORCL), Palo Alto Networks (PANW), and Vonage Holdings (VG).

Rosenblatt Securities expert John McPeake past week boosted his people terms connected the banal to $333, from $301, portion repeating his Buy rating. McPeake contends that Microsoft’s fundamentals are arsenic beardown arsenic immoderate clip successful caller history. “Azure continues to instrumentality share, request for PCs stay robust, and Office, Teams and Dynamics [are] apt to proceed to turn successful the treble digits.”

Write to Eric J. Savitz astatine eric.savitz@barrons.com

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